Welcome to of our NFL PrizePicks predictions for Week 11. It should be a Sunday-Funday with four game totals over 45.5 highlighted by the Cardinals at Texans with a total of 48.5. Kyler Murray looked pretty good last week and CJ Stroud has been smashing so this might be a good game to hit the more button on some props. The lowlight of the day is the Steelers at Browns game that has a total of just 32.5, possibly because rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson is starting at QB for Cleveland. Let’s discuss the best PrizePicks plays for NFL Week 11 starting with my favorite pick of the day, CeeDee Lamb.
With the assistance of OddsShopper’s PrizePicks optimizer, I’ve designed these plays to help you make informed choices and maximize your chances of success. If you aren’t on PrizePicks yet, you can find the best PrizePicks promo code here.
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NFL PrizePicks Predictions for Week 11
CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys, More/Less Than 84.5 Receiving Yards
The Cowboys have a 25.75 implied team total and are 10-point road favorites against Carolina Panthers. The Panthers are 1-8 making them the worst team in the NFL. According to PFF, CeeDee Lamb has the seventh best matchup this week for WR. He ranks 11th in targets and has the second highest reception percentage. He also has the third highest contested catch rate in the NFL.
The Panthers have allowed the third fewest targets and the fifth fewest receiving yards to WR but that’s because teams have such an easy time running on them. However, Dallas has been very pass heavy in recent weeks, so much so that Lamb tied a record last with three consecutive games with 10 receptions and 150 yards. He has a chance to break that record Sunday and normally this should not factor into a bet but the Cowboys are pushing for him to get this. Dallas was up 42-7 in the fourth quarter and had Cooper Rush in at QB for garbage time. Lamb was still out there going for the record. He finished the game with 14 targets and has 44 in his last three games. This got bumped two yards while I was typing so expect it to get bumped again.
NFL PrizePicks Play: CeeDee Lamb More Than 84.5 Receiving Yards
Colby Parkinson, Seahawks, More/Less Than 6.5 Receiving Yards
If you don’t know who Colby Parkinson is, don’t worry, neither did I but I promise you will remember his name after Sunday when we see that beautiful green line on our pick. Parkinson only has 13 catches on the season and just one in each of the last two games. However, he’s run a route on 79% of his snaps and averages 10.8 yards per reception.
He has a favorable matchup against the Los Angeles Rams who allow the fifth most receiving yards to the TE position. This game has the second highest total on the day at 46.5 with just a 1-point spread. We could see a shootout in this one as Geno Smith is averaging 35.4 passing attempts over his last five games. This prop has the highest EV rating and a 63% Win% on OddsShopper’s Positive EV Bets tool. Most books are heavy on the over and have this prop at 8.5 yards.
NFL PrizePicks Play: Colby Parkinson More Than 6.5 Receiving Yards
Trey McBride, Cardinals, More/Less Than 12.5 Fantasy Score
Trey McBride has emerged as an elite tight end this season. His six contested catches ranks second in the NFL and his 11.6 yards per catch ranks sixth. Over the last fives games he has 39 targets which is second most for tight ends behind only TJ Hockenson.
Kyler Murray targeted McBride a team-high nine times last week against Atlanta. The Cardinals face the Texans Sunday who allow 16 fantasy points per game to the TE position, tied for most in the NFL. This game has the highest total on the slate of 48.5 and Arizona is a 5-point road underdog suggesting a pass first game script.
NFL PrizePicks Play: Trey McBride More Than 12.5 Fantasy Score
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